Over/Unders from PistonsPowered

Tim Thielke of PistonPowered.com posted an article asking readers to predict 20 statistical over/unders for the Pistons' 2015-'16 season. I thought it was fun, and some of the juxtapositions were provocative, so I'll post my predictions here so we can track them, along with some explanations.

Which will be higher?

1. Andre Drummond’s rebounds per game or Andre Drummond’s points per game?
   Points. Drummond's rpg are pretty close to maxed out, ppg should see a boost with Monroe gone. Plus, I think he's developing a lot more as an offensive player.
2. Andre Drummond’s free throw percentage or Marcus Morris’ total starts?
   Drummond's FT%. I think Morris gets between 30-40 starts, Drummond's FT% should be over 40%. Please let it be over 40%.
   
3. Spencer Dinwiddie’s total minutes or Stanley Johnson’s total points?
   Johnson's points. With Blake & Jennings, Dinwiddie doesn't get any burn. Even if Jennings gets traded, I think Dinwiddie spends most of the year in the D League.
   
4. Reggie Jackson’s double-doubles or Pistons’ made free throws per game?
   RJ's double-doubles. He had 15 last year playing part time most of the year, Pistons averaged 15.8 made FTs per game, and they didn't add anybody who'll raise that number significantly. This is a safe bet.
   
5. Stan Van Gundy in-season player acquisitions or Andre Drummond’s blocks per game?
   SVG's in-season acquisitions.  SVG picked up 6 guys mid-season last year. Drummond will have to average over 3 bpg to have a shot.
   
6. Combined games played by Danny Granger, Cartier Martin, Adonis Thomas, and Darrun Hilliard or Ersan Ilyasova’s total three pointers made?
   Ilyasova's made 3s. These other guys will be cut, traded, or sent to the D league. EI makes at least 70 threes, probably closer to 100.
   
7. Pistons’ longest winning streak or Aaron Bayne’s points per game?
   Pistons' winning streak. This is really close because I think they're both around 8. Almost said "push".
   
8. Jodie Meeks’ three point percentage or Spencer Dinwiddie’s field goal percentage?
   Meeks' 3P%. This was nearly a push as well. I think they both end up close to .380, although less PT on Dinwiddie's end could skew the numbers.
   
9. Brandon Jennings’ total games played or Joel Anthony’s free throw percentage?
   Anthony's FT%. Mainly because I expect Jennings to get traded at some point.
   
10. Steve Blake’s minutes per game or Reggie Jackson’s points per game?
    RJ's ppg. Backup PGs usually get 20+ mpg, but if Jennings gets a lot of PT and doesn't get traded, Blake gets closer to 10-15 mpg.
    
11. Reggie Bullock’s total DNP’s or Joel Anthony’s total field goal attempts?
    Bullock's DNPs. Anthony took 62 shots last year. I doubt Bullock plays in 20 games.
    
12. Kentavious Caldwell Pope’s three point percentage or Pistons’ total wins?
    KCP's 3P%. He should shoot somewhere between .360% & .380%, Pistons likely finish with 35 or less.
    
13. Marcus Morris’ total steals or Aaron Bayne’s free throw percentage?
    Baynes' FT%. I don't think Morris plays enough to get 80 steals
    
14. Brandon Jennings’ total starts or Kentavious Caldwell-Pope’s points per game?
     KCP's ppg. Unless Jackson gets hurt, Jennings won't get 12 starts
    
15. Pistons’ final seed or Stanley Johnson’s rebounds per 36 minutes?
    Piston's final seed. If Johnson doesn't play much, this could get totally skewed by a small sample size. I'm betting the Pistons' seed will be between 9th & 12th, and Johnson's rebounds per 36min fall between 7 & 8.
    
16. Number of Piston all-star berths this season or number of Piston playoff wins?
    All Star berths. I think Drummond makes it in this year, possibly Jackson as well. If they even make the 8th seed, they get swept. This could very easily be a 0-0 push.
    
17. Ersan Ilyasova’s points per game or Kentavious Caldwell-Pope’s points per game?
    Ilyasova. I think he gets more of a bump in SVG's offense than KCP does. This was close as well. One of these guys will average close to 14ppg, the other closer to 12.
    
18. Anthony Tolliver’s total rebounds or Andre Drummond’s total blocks?
    Drummond's blocks. Tolliver plays fewer min, Drummond improves on D.
    
19. Jodie Meeks’ total three pointers made or Marcus Morris’ total three pointers made?
    Meeks. Unless he gets traded. If he sticks, I think he plays a bigger role in the offense.
    
20. All Pistons’ combined triple-doubles or Stanley Johnson’s final Rookie of the Year rank?
    Johnsons's ROY rank. The only Piston with a triple-double last year was Jackson with 2. He'll play more this year, but it's very rare to have more than 4 triple-doubles in a year. Russell Westbrook led the NBA with 11, but he's ridiculous. Harden was 2nd with 4. I'm betting the Pistons combine for 3 triple-doubles on the season and Johnson finishes 4th or lower in the ROY voting.

That was fun. The bets (no money involved) I'm least secure about are 7, 8, 10, 17, and 20. We'll check on these halfway through and again at the end of the season.