Friday, February 19, 2016

Pistons Deadline Buyers

The NBA trade deadline expired yesterday afternoon, and the Pistons were buyers. Stan Van Gundy architected... orchestrated... whatever... 1 good move and 1 bad (and very puzzling) move.

New Piston #1: Tobias Harris PF/SF

The trade was backup PG Brandon Jennings (on an $8M expiring deal) and starting PF Ersan Ilyasova (2 yrs left at $8M/yr, roughly speaking) for Harris (3 yrs left at $16M/yr).
The Good: Harris is pretty young at 23, the best player in the deal, and is on a relatively team-friendly contract with a lot of upside
The Bad: the Pistons don't have a suitable backup PG to replace Jennings, and they lose 3pt shooting, and important factor in Van Gundy's offense
Overall: it's a good deal for the Pistons & should pay off down the road



Harris' game is a lot like Marcus Morris' game (part 2 of the highlight vid is here, btw). He shoots the 3 okay but not great, he can score from mid-range or by posting up, and he's decent at scoring off the dribble in iso. He'll be a bit of a defensive upgrade over Ilyasova, although he won't draw NEARLY as many charges. He finishes at the rim better and is FAR more athletic. His 3pt shooting took a dip this year, but I'm hoping it bounces back under Van Gundy. Harris runs the court really well, so I expect to see our starting offense pick up the pace.

New Pistons #2 & #3: Donatas Motiejunas PF/C, Marcus Thornton SG/SF

SVG sent 3rd-string C Joel Anthony and a protected 1st-round pick to Houston for Montiejunas (who turns into a RFA this summer) and Thornton (vet minimum contract that expires this summer).
The Good: Montiejunas is EXACTLY what you want in the current NBA - a passing big who can shoot the 3 - and a perfect fit for SVG's offense
The Bad: A 1st-round pick, even a protected pick, is too much to give up for essentially 2 months of Donatas and the rights to match any offer for him this summer. He's only played 14 games all season and is just coming off the injury list, so it's not certain what level of production he'll provide. We JUST traded for a young PF, so it's unclear what the strategy is here. Does Motiejunas start, or Harris? Finally, Thornton provides depth, but not NEEDED depth. The Pistons desperately need a backup PG, so not getting something they actually need in this deal isn't good
Overall: Donatas is a good player, or should be if he's healthy, but a 1st-rounder was too much to give up, considering he hits the market as a restricted FA this summer. Not addressing the hole at PG is a HUGE negative in this deal as well



I'm not going to bother showing Thornton's highlights (if they even exist), but Motiejunas (pronounced moe-tee-YOU-nus) is worth a look (part 2 is here). He really broke out last year, his 3rd year in the league. The first thing you notice with Motiejunas is his passing is REALLY, really good. Like, Chris Webber good. Secondly, he can use that passing ability to create open looks for himself in the post. He's got a number of tricky moves, including a wicked up & under, and I think it will be great for Drummond to see a regular diet of this guy in practice. Thirdly, he's hit his threes at a .373% rate over the past two seasons and averages taking 3 per game. That number should go up under Van Gundy, since Motiejunas will be playing the 4 much more than the 3.

On the down side, I don't see much versatility in his scoring. I'd like to see more face-up game from a 4 in this offense. Motiejunas scores off of cuts, post-ups, and spot-up threes. He did work effectively with Dwight Howard, who is similar in style of play to Drummond, so that's promising. But he's probably not starting, given that we just got Tobias Harris, so...

On the plus side, we've got a lot of interesting players to check out now. On the negative, I don't like what we gave up (that 1st-rounder), and I'm not sure how they're all going to fit. We're back to either Steve Blake or Darrun Hilliard running our 2nd-team offense, so that ought to be interesting (not in a good way).

***

I watched all of maybe 8 min of the NBA All Star game. Maybe I'm getting crotchety in my middle-30s, but I have no interest in watching a game where everyone jogs around, jacking up shots against nominal-to-no defense. I get that it's an exhibition, but the effort level needs to be higher than 20% if it's going to draw my interest. It was a bit of a mess, since the starting frontcourt for both the East and the West were all small forwards. Anyway, I've got no comment on the game because it was total garbage.

All Star Saturday was MUCH better. The skills competition was interesting, because they pitted 4 bigs (Draymond Green, KAT, Cousins, and Unibrow) against 4 smalls (Clarkson, Isaiah Thomas, McCollum, and Mudiay), with the winner of the smalls facing the winner of the bigs. Isaiah Thomas looked to be the class of the group, but KAT won it because it turned into a 3-pt contest at the end, and he hit his shot first. I didn't like that aspect of the contest. I think it would've worked better if they had switched the layup and the three, and given everyone 4 tries at the 3 before they had to take a ball out at the other end and hit their layup.

The three-point competition was really good, with Devin Booker, Klay Thompson and teammate (and last year's winner) Steph Curry as the 3 finalists. It was REALLY close between Curry & Thompson, but Thompson ended up taking it.

I was most excited to see the dunk competition, since Drummond was participating. That part was disappointing, actually, because Drummond either didn't practice his dunks or just picked dunks that weren't in his wheelhouse. His first dunk would've been nice if he could've landed it, but there were too many moving parts. His 2nd dunk (an alley-oop off of Steve Nash's feet) was just a bad idea, since they clearly didn't practice it. He should've tried to do dunks that only he, as a big, could do. Like palm 2 basketballs, dunk one, put the other between the legs & dunk that. Or balance a ball on the top of the backboard, against the shot clock, go up & get it, then throw it down hard. Something that only a really big guy can do.

The finals of the dunk competition were on another level though. I thought several of the dunks Gordon & Zach Levine came up with were among the best I'd ever seen. I think it probably should've been a tie, but Levine ended up getting the trophy again. I'm sure the dunk competition was way more exciting than anything that happened in the actual AS Game.

Wednesday, February 3, 2016

Force Awakens Re-Review

As promised, I'm going back over my original post on Star Wars: The Force Awakens since re-watching it a couple of weeks ago. I'm also going to go over some newly developed theories I've developed or seen online. If you're not into spoilers or speculation, you might want to check out at this point, because some of these seem pretty solid.

First, to whet your appetite, here are some theories I've developed based on Episode 7's use of some of
Ralph McQuarrie's original Star Wars unused concept art. I think in some cases McQuarrie's stuff was used to bring back the feel of the Original Trilogy, but also to draw connections from the OT to the New Trilogy. 

  • Jabba's Palace Gate. This concept was repurposed to be the entrance to the junker village on Jakku. Since Jakku and Tatooine are similar planets, it doesn't look out of place, but my further speculation is that the Hutts have an interest in the junking operation on Jakku.
  • Rey's Goggles & Speeder Bike. They were the original design for what Luke Starkiller's gear in Lucas's original screenplay (Starkiller became Skywalker). Again, it makes sense to use because the topography & climate of Jakku and Tatooine are basically identical, but it's a further connection between Luke and Rey, adding fuel to the theory that she's Luke's daughter.
Ok, now to the meat & potatoes. A second viewing all but confirmed Rey as Luke's daughter for me. The primary scene to break down is when Rey is called by, then receives a vision from, Anakin's/Luke's lightsaber. She first hears a baby crying, which is what draws her to the lightsaber originally. The baby is probably Rey on the day of her birth. Then she reaches for the lightsaber and has a vision. The first scene is the setting of Bespin, where Luke and Vader first fought, and where Luke was separated from this very lightsaber (Luke & Vader's fight prefigures Rey's first fight with Kylo Ren, btw). The next scene is the Knights of Ren attacking the new Jedi temple and wiping out all (or seemingly all) of Luke's apprentices. Finally, you see a much younger Rey, maybe 10-12 years younger, left on Jakku in the hands of Unkar Plutt, an unsavory character with connections to the First Order. Finally you see a scene from the future of Kylo Ren hunting for Rey & Finn in the forest on Starkiller Base.All of these things are important - the baby crying, Luke's first fight with Vader, the attack on the new Jedi temple, Rey's abandonment, and Rey's first fight with Kylo Ren. This seems to indicate a connection between Luke and Rey, going back to the day of her birth. There are other hints in the movie to this connection, but the vision from the lightsaber is the strongest.

Now, about getting left on Jakku, and especially getting left with a guy like Plutt... Here's a theory I saw on YouTube that might resolve that, and adds some intrigue for Episode 8 - Kylo Ren was the one who took Rey to Jakku:






The idea that Rey might be Luke's daughter raises further questions, but this theory solves most or all of them. First, I should mention that the theory is in large part based off of a fallacy - that the vision actually shows Rey at the Jedi temple when the Knights of Ren showed up. You don't actually see that. What you see is present-day Rey standing in the middle of the vision and reacting to things. That said, there is still too much there to ignore.

If Rey WAS trained at the new Jedi temple, it would explain how she quickly went from no knowledge of her own force powers to doing harder stuff like using the Jedi mind trick on the stormtrooper, snatching the lightsaber from Kylo in mid-air, and soundly beating a trained Master of the Knights of Ren in a lightsaber battle. If she WAS Ben Solo's cousin, it would explain his wavering in their fight & reluctance to use deadly force - again, their lightsaber battle was prefigured by Luke & Vader's fight on Bespin, including Vader's call for Luke to join him. I can't stress enough how connected Rey & Kylo's battle is with Luke & Vader's. After the vision scene, it's probably the most important scene pointing the way for the rest of the trilogy. Anyway.

If Rey WAS in fact saved by Kylo Ren and left on Jakku, unbeknownst to Luke & the Resistance, as well as Supreme Leader Snoke & the Knights of Ren, it would explain why she was left with Unkar Plutt (a First Order sympathizer). It would also explain Ren's reaction when he learns how BB-8 escaped from Jakku. You know the scene. He's throwing a tantrum, and each new revelation throws him off even more. BB-8 escapes. Finn's "traitorous" involvement. But when the messenger mentions a scavenger girl's role in the escape, Kylo Ren looks like he's about to literally "kill the messenger" and starts to interrogate him about the girl. Ren is pissed, but he's also extremely frightened, because he crossed Snoke by not killing Rey all those years ago and is in danger of being found out. Finally, Kylo Ren's involvement explains why her memory is so fuzzy about where she comes from. She looks at least 6 when she's left on Jakku. That's old enough to have some memories of where you come from and who your parents are. She doesn't seem to know, she just knows she's supposed to wait until they come for her. That suggests her memory was tampered with, which suggests Kylo Ren, who happens to be gifted in that area.

The fact that this theory is based on something you don't actually see doesn't bother me so much. When Rey sees Kylo Ren hunting her in the forest, her viewpoint is aligned with where her future-self will be, so it follows that the same is true of the part of the vision that occurs in her past. Plus, all the other pieces fit so well, so it doesn't bother me that the poster of the video slightly misinterpreted the scene. The explanation fits.

None of this answers the question of Rey's mother, and I don't have much to give you in that regard.
Urban Acolyte TV has a theory about that which explains Rey's accent, as well as some of her qualities that are a bit different from Luke, like her exceptional mechanical ability. I mean, Luke is no slouch in the garage and Anakin could fix just about anything, but this girl had the Falcon running better than Han ever did, and that's after it was basically sitting on blocks in a junkyard for years. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story is slated to come out this December, so that might shed more light on this.

I've got nothing more to add regarding Finn's parentage, but I've got a bit more on his ability to break stormtrooper conditioning and possible force sensitivity. Finn could just be a regular guy, and I'd be fine with that, but I like the idea of him joining Rey & Luke against the Knights of Ren.

First, I noticed right off the bat that Kylo Ren looked right at FN-2187 as his conditioning was breaking down. That implies that either the conditioning was created by the force, that breaking the conditioning require some (probably subconscious) use of the force, or a combination of those 2 things. FN-2187/Finn doesn't overtly use the force in the movie like Rey does, and there aren't any overt implications that he's connected to the force, as Leia is when she senses Han's death. But there are more than a couple hints in the movie, EU/Star Wars Legends books, and elsewhere that point to this possibility (again, most of the credit goes to Urban Acolyte for doing the research on this, and I've attached the video at the time he mentions each supporting point):

  • Finn's stormtrooper abilities are exceptionally high. This is something you learn from novelization prequels to Force Awakens, so it's canon but not in the movie. He might just be a really good fighter and shot, but it could also be him subconsciously using the force to shoot better (Like Luke hitting that exhaust port to knock out Deathstar I)
  • Connection to characters in EU/Legends. Finn seems to be a sort of combination of 2 characters from the EU books that both became Jedi. Also, the name FN-2187 has a connection to the movie that inspired George Lucas to come up with the idea of "the force". That's going deeper into Star Wars lore than my knowledge went, but there are a lot of connections in the new movie to Star Wars' past, and while the new trilogy is rewriting the EU and designating it non-canon, it still is mining the EU for ideas and easter eggs for fanboys to jump on
  • Does Finn sense the destruction of the Hosnian System before it happens? This isn't something I noticed during either viewing of Force Awakens, but apparently a number of others DID. I'll have to wait for the blu ray to come out. This would be mostly like Obi Wan sensing the destruction of Alderaan, but it's also similar to Leia sensing Luke calling out to her through the force at the end of Empire Strikes Back
  • John Boyega appears to be going through lightsaber training. Boyega posted an Instagram of himself wearing some kendo/fencing gear. Kendo is the real-world model for the forms of lightsaber dueling. It's fair to say that we'll see Finn in a lightsaber duel down the road, and probably doing better a lot better than he did in Episode 7. I don't see much point in doing lightsaber training if he's not going to be a force wielder. It would basically be bringing a knife to a gun fight. So if Boyega is in fact working on his lightsaber skills, he's going to be a Jedi in training
Ok, the third and final BIG question I'm going to address is WHO IS SNOKE? This question has some of the wildest and most varied theories, some of which are ridiculous, and some which have a little merit, but not many that actually seem to bite. Probably the craziest theory is that Leia is Snoke, which is flat-out stupid. First of all, it would be an enormous betrayal of the character. Secondly, it doesn't explain her reactions to seeing Han, sensing the destruction of the Hosnian system, and sensing Han's death. This behavior doesn't match up with the front Palpatine put up. Thirdly, it doesn't explain her actions in trying to locate Luke. If she were really Snoke, why wouldn't she just tip off Kylo Ren to the whereabouts of the map instead of sending her best pilot to retrieve it? And once she found Luke's location, why wouldn't she just go herself, along with Kylo and the other Knights of Ren, to finish the job? Finally, why would Leia duck the opportunity to gain political power if her ultimate goal is to be another emperor? She was a princess and a senator, but she threw that all aside to general the resistance. It seems like she'd be in a better position to pull strings if she were a powerful figure in the Senate.

Another theory about Snoke is that
he's an older version of Ben Solo who traveled back in time to train his younger self. The support for this is that Kylo Ren has a wound on his face after fighting Rey that matches an ugly scar on Snoke, that Rian Johnson is the director of Episode 8, whose previous films include Looper, a time travel flick, and finally, a quote from Rian Johnson that we'd see something in Episode 8 that we've never seen in a Star Wars movie before, and time travel certainly hasn't been shown to be possible in the Star Wars universe yet. I absolutely HATE this theory, although not quite as much as the Leia theory. A major, major problem with it is that Ben Solo creating himself as Kylo Ren is a perfect example of the bootstrap paradox. It's a causality loop. How can Ben Solo teach himself new things? If he's teaching himself, his education has no origin, and neither does the alteration of his path from Jedi to Knight of Ren. I believe the new thing that Rian Johnson mentions is dark side training. As far as the matching scars go, they don't actually match. Snoke's scar starts at the crown of his head, fades out when it passes the bridge of his nose, and is pretty deep for a head wound. Kylo Ren's scar isn't very deep, and it appears to start considerably lower on his forehead, running mainly down his cheek. I'm feeling pretty good about this one being bogus.

Other theories about Snoke are he's either Vader (definitely dead, we see his force ghost in Return of the Jedi), Grand Moff Tarkin (probably dead, definitely not a force user), "Darth Jar Jar" (seriously), or Darth Bane (almost assuredly dead, reportedly killed by Jedi and would be over 1,000 years old if he wasn't). Of these, the Darth Bane theory has the fewest holes, but I don't really buy any of them.



The theory that has the most juice is that Snoke is Darth Plagueis, the teacher of Palpatine/Sidious who was killed by supposedly killed by Sidious and then mentioned by Palpatine to Anakin as a way to entice him to seek power he can't learn from the Jedi. It's an interesting theory, so let me go over the main points supporting it from the video:
  • Musical cues. The theme music for Snoke is almost exactly the same music that was playing during the scene in Revenge of the Sith when Palpatine mentions Plagueis. The source of the music in the scene is a Mon Calamari ballet called "Squid Lake" (the title Squid lake is one of the more ridiculous things in the prequels, which is saying something). It could be a cue connecting Plagueis and Snoke, or it could be John Williams using similar music (Tibetan monk chanting, in this case) to portray a powerful dark side user. When the Emperor appears in the original trilogy, similar super-low vocal humming/chanting can be heard in the scenes with the Emperor
  • Kylo Ren calls Supreme Leader Snoke "wise", as in Darth Plagueis the Wise. This is a bit looser than the musical cue, but it's something
  • What about Plagueis' status as a Muun? The EU books cover Plagueis' backstory as a Muun of one of the powerful banking clan families (among other things, Muuns don't have noses, Snoke does.. kind of). Since the new trilogy made the EU books non-canon, that threw everything in flux. The only things we know for certain about Plagueis are that he was a male Sith Lord, he could create life from the force somehow, and that he was killed in his sleep by his apprentice, Darth Sidious. Everything else is up in the air. Maybe he used his unique power to bring himself back to life
  • Snoke mentions in the novelization of the Force Awakens that he witnessed the rise & fall of the Galactic Empire. This doesn't necessarily prove that he's Plagueis, but he certainly can't be Leia or Future Ben Solo if that's true. Snoke would have to be at least 100 years old to have witnessed that, and probably older.
  • Another Snoke quote from the novelization, speaking to Kylo Ren: "I never had an apprentice with such promise - before you." That implies that Snoke had at least 1 apprentice prior to Kylo Ren. Now there are other Knights of Ren to whom that might apply, but Kylo is their master and probably Snoke's longest-tenured apprentice of that group. I find it hard to believe that Plagueis would actually consider Ben Solo better material than Sheev Palpatine, but this might just be flattery on Snoke's part, trying to build Kylo Ren up.
Now, Andy Serkis has come out and said that Supreme Leader Snoke is a new character, which could be true or could be misdirection. Not every character has to be tied to someone in the OT, Prequels, or EU/Legends. Personally, I'm inclined to believe Serkis. Snoke is most likely someone we've never seen before who was sitting back and running his super secret dark side cult from the shadows while the Sith schemed against the Jedi. The Knights of Ren were likely even at odds with the Sith, possibly a result of a dark side schism dating back to before Darth Bane's Rule of Two. A serious downside (for the Sith, anyway) of the Rule of Two is that a lot of knowledge is lost when the apprentice kills his master, especially before the master is able to pass on all his knowledge. It's probable that knowledge of the Knights of Ren was lost in one of these transitions of power.

I expect Episode 8 to delve more into the Knights of Ren, especially if it's as dark as it's purported to be. Kylo Ren has training to undergo, a new helmet to forge, and a new lightsaber to construct. I originally thought they wouldn't show much or any dark side training because a) that wasn't something we'd seen in Star Wars before, and b) the more secretive something is, the scarier it is. In other words, showing Knights of Ren in training makes them less scary. Well, the director's comment about "something we've never seen before" changed my mind about that. Plus, Snoke mentions further training for Kylo, and usually stuff like that is a teaser for the next move.

An interesting theory about Episode 8 is that the new baddie, played by Benicio Del Toro, is a grown up Ezra from the Star Wars Rebels TV show, now turned dark. Since the new trilogy IS tying in with newer novels, TV shows, and possibly video games, I find this VERY likely. Right now Del Toro's character's name is unknown, and they don't keep these things secret for no reason. Also of note, Episode 8's release has been postponed from May 26th of 2017 to December 15th of 2017. The next Star Wars title to come out will be Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, which is currently scheduled for release on December 16th of this year. Rogue One is the first of the Star Wars Anthology movies to be release, that it, non-episodic. It tells the story of how the plans to Deathstar I were stolen (not the "many Bothans died" that Mon Motha talked about in Jedi), and possibly gives backstory, if you believe that theory, to Rey's mother.

That's it for geek-talk for a while. There's possible Lions news, Pistons, NBA All Star stuff, etc. that I'll want to get to in the coming weeks. If I have time, that is, since baby #2 is imminently approaching (not as ominously as that sounds, though).